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East Med energy and geopolitical crossovers
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East Med energy and geopolitical crossovers

By Thrassy N. Marketos* The Eastern Mediterranean region, where east, west, north and south converge, and the birthplace of the three main monotheistic world religions, is, from a geopolitical point of view, a separate subsystem. At the crossroads of three continents, Europe, Asia and Africa, the East Mediterranean’s geopolitics include not only regional actors but...

As Biden enters White House, did Israel’s Mossad win war with Iran?
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As Biden enters White House, did Israel’s Mossad win war with Iran?

By Yonah Jeremy Bob* Given that the incoming Biden administration continues to forecast a readiness to return to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal without necessarily addressing all of Israel’s objections, did Mossad director Yossi Cohen succeed at his own goal of stopping Iran’s nuclear program? Put differently, will Biden rejoin the nuclear deal in 2021, and if...

Russia, China, and the facts of polar security
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Russia, China, and the facts of polar security

By Charles Jacoby*, Jr. and Ryan Burke**  US strategic indifference toward the polar regions has led to atrophy and security capability gaps that require urgent attention. As these regions have warmed and continue to open, the twenty-first-century great power competition has ascended to the Arctic and will surely descend on Antarctica. While the United States has focused...

The Kremlin faces a difficult 2021
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The Kremlin faces a difficult 2021

By Abbas Gallyamov* President Vladimir Putin has exhausted his political agenda. Even his recent referendum to “reset” the political clock hasn’t helped. Putin might physically remain in power for some time, but he has already become a “lame duck” president in the eyes of many people, a leader on his way out the door. Nobody —...

The U.S. Navy’s next four years
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The U.S. Navy’s next four years

The next four years will be critical for the U.S. Navy as our nation faces new challenges in the Indo-Pacific Theater and around the globe. During the 2020 presidential campaign, defense was not a major political issue. As a result, President-elect Joe Biden’s new Pentagon and Navy leadership teams will come to their posts largely...

Into the danger zone: The coming crisis in US-China relations
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Into the danger zone: The coming crisis in US-China relations

By Michael Beckley* and Hal Brands** In foreign policy circles, it has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a “superpower marathon” that may last a century.1 But what if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? To be sure, a Sino-American contest that is driven by clashing geopolitical...

Will Putin play the “China Card”?
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Will Putin play the “China Card”?

By Joseph V. Micallef* In 1972, President Richard Nixon made an official visit to the People’s Republic of China. The visit, several years in the planning, marked the resumption of direct diplomatic contacts between China and the U.S. after almost a quarter century of political isolation. The thaw culminated in 1979 when the U.S. established...

What to expect in the East Med for 2021
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What to expect in the East Med for 2021

By Alexis Papachelas* Greek-Turkish relations were precarious in 2020 and the fact that an “accident” or military engagement was avoided is important. The new year may bring big developments in Greek-Turkish relations but also on the Cyprus issue. The two countries appear to be on course to start exploratory contacts in January. No one can predict whether...

Turkey’s goal in Caucasus was to increase Russia’s role
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Turkey’s goal in Caucasus was to increase Russia’s role

By Seth J. Frantzman* While Turkey frequently spreads misinformation via its state media, imprisons journalists and dissidents and bashes the US, it is growing closer to Russia. Turkey and Russia are increasingly becoming strategic partners in an effort to work with Iran and remove the US from the Middle East. This is Turkey’s overall goal,...

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